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03 / Teams

EVERY SEASONHAS A STORY.

One team's season, told in order: results, style, schedule, luck, trend and what is next.

Duquesne Dukes 2026: the season story

Duquesne is 4-5 and rated No. 209 of 266 in the Cheap Seats Index, from this season's games only: Power 205th, Résumé 199th, schedule 216th toughest. Next: home against Mercyhurst.

01

Scouting report

Why it matters. The Team Index weighs how well a team plays and what it has beaten equally, so the gap between the two ranks shows which one is carrying it. Duquesne is No. 209 of 266 in the Team Index and 3rd of 8 in the NEC. Power, how well it plays, ranks 205th of 266; Résumé, what it has beaten, ranks 199th of 266.

02

The season, game by game

Why it matters. Single-game ratings separate a team that wins comfortably every week from one that keeps escaping. Duquesne loses its games by 2.2 points on average, 68th of 128 in margin among FCS teams. It has not played a team in our top 25 yet.

03

How they win

Why it matters. Offense and defense are rated separately, adjusted for every opponent, so a team that wins with its defense looks different from one that wins shootouts. Its offense rates 67th of 128 in FCS (3rd in the NEC) and its defense 54th of 128 (4th in the conference).

04

Drive by drive

Why it matters. Counting points per possession instead of per game takes tempo out of the picture: a slow team is not punished for having fewer drives. Duquesne scores 1.92 points per drive (the FCS average is 2.16), 82nd of 128. Its defense allows 2.13, 51st of 128.

05

Under the hood

Why it matters. Expected points per play captures what the scoreboard misses: a 9-yard gain on 3rd and 8 is worth far more than the same 9 yards on 3rd and 15. Adjusted for its opponents, the offense adds -0.05 expected points per play (77th of 128) and stays on schedule on 37% of snaps (84th of 128). The defense allows +0.18 per play, 100th of 128.

06

When it matters

Why it matters. Most close games turn on a handful of third downs and red-zone trips, so this is where good teams separate. Duquesne converts 37% of its third downs and scores touchdowns on 68% of red-zone trips (FCS average 60%), 32nd of 128.

07

Special teams

Why it matters. Special teams swing field position and decide a few close games every season, and almost none of it shows up in a box score. Its special teams as a whole rank 35th of 128, worth +1.09 points a game against an average unit. The best unit is punt returns, 6th of 128.

08

Tendencies

Why it matters. How a team calls its plays by down and distance is what opposing coaches study all week. Duquesne throws on 34% of early downs; the FCS average is 45%.

09

How they play

Why it matters. Pace changes how many chances both teams get, and the line of scrimmage decides whether the quarterback has time and the runners have room. It runs 56.8 plays a game (FCS average 64.4). Its quarterbacks are sacked on 5.2% of dropbacks, 72nd of 128, and 17% of its runs are stopped at or behind the line, 32nd of 128.

10

Who they have played

Why it matters. The same numbers mean more against good teams; splitting them by opponent shows whether a team holds up when the schedule gets hard. Duquesne's schedule ranks 216th of 266 in strength, 6th toughest of 8 in the NEC.

11

Record versus reality

Why it matters. Teams that win a lot of coin-flip games rarely keep doing it, so the gap between expected and actual wins is worth watching. Duquesne has 4 wins against 4.5 expected from its play and schedule, and is 1-2 in one-score games.

12

Rise and fall

Why it matters. How a team is playing now often says more about its next game than its full-season average. Duquesne was 254th in Power after week 2 and is 205th now; its best was 193rd after week 9.

13

What is ahead

Why it matters. The schedule left matters as much as the games played; simulating it shows how much is still in reach. Across 10,000 simulated seasons Duquesne averages 5.1 wins and almost never wins the NEC.

14

Top players and teams like them

Why it matters. Teams with similar profiles tend to play similar games, which makes them a useful way to read a matchup or a season. The highest-ranked player on the roster is James Monds III, 359th of 1841 defensive backs. The closest match in style and strength is Rhode Island.

About this page

A season, told as a story

Every team page tells one team's season in order, from the first kickoff to what is still ahead. It starts with where the team stands in the Team Index and how it got there, then walks through every game: the score, how good the opponent was, and how the result compared with what was expected.

What each part shows

The story covers how the team wins (its offense and defense measured against every other team), the strength of its schedule, close games and luck, its trend over the last few weeks, and the games left with a win chance for each. Charts can be switched from the whole season to any single game.

How to start

Search for any of the 266 FBS and FCS teams, or pick a conference to browse. Every team is built from this season's games only, and every page updates on Sunday after the Saturday games.