Austin Peay Governors 2026: the season story
Austin Peay is 8-2 and rated No. 147 of 266 in the Cheap Seats Index, from this season's games only: Power 144th, Résumé 123rd, schedule 208th toughest. Next: home against Abilene Christian.
Scouting report
Why it matters. A team can rank high by playing well, by beating good teams, or both; the two halves of the index show which. Austin Peay is No. 147 of 266 in the Team Index and 2nd of 8 in the UAC. Power, how well it plays, ranks 144th of 266; Résumé, what it has beaten, ranks 123rd of 266.
The season, game by game
Why it matters. A record says who won; a rating for every game shows how convincingly, and whether a team is steady or streaky. Austin Peay wins its games by 16.1 points on average, 6th of 128 in margin among FCS teams. It has not played a team in our top 25 yet.
How they win
Why it matters. Knowing which side of the ball does the work tells you how a team is likely to win, and how it could lose. Its offense rates 13th of 128 in FCS (2nd in the UAC) and its defense 16th of 128 (3rd in the conference).
Drive by drive
Why it matters. Points per drive is the cleanest single measure of an offense or a defense, because it ignores how fast or slow a team plays. Austin Peay scores 2.92 points per drive (the FCS average is 2.16), 15th of 128. Its defense allows 1.81, 24th of 128.
Under the hood
Why it matters. Play-by-play measures show whether a team is good on most snaps or living on a few big plays, which tends to matter for what comes next. Adjusted for its opponents, the offense adds +0.15 expected points per play (8th of 128) and stays on schedule on 41% of snaps (40th of 128). The defense allows +0.05 per play, 29th of 128.
When it matters
Why it matters. Third downs and red-zone trips are where drives are won or lost; small edges here turn into touchdowns instead of field goals. Austin Peay converts 36% of its third downs and scores touchdowns on 66% of red-zone trips (FCS average 60%), 41st of 128.
Special teams
Why it matters. A missed field goal or a long return can flip a close game; these numbers show which units help and which hurt. Its special teams as a whole rank 48th of 128, worth +0.59 points a game against an average unit. The best unit is punting, 24th of 128.
Tendencies
Why it matters. Tendencies are what opponents game-plan against: a team that is predictable on early downs makes the defense's job easier. Austin Peay throws on 43% of early downs; the FCS average is 45%.
How they play
Why it matters. Fast teams pile up yards and slow teams shorten games; the line decides how much of either actually works. It runs 57.9 plays a game (FCS average 64.4). Its quarterbacks are sacked on 8.9% of dropbacks, 115th of 128, and 21% of its runs are stopped at or behind the line, 79th of 128.
Who they have played
Why it matters. A great offense against weak defenses is not the same thing as a great offense; the splits show the difference. Austin Peay's schedule ranks 208th of 266 in strength, 7th toughest of 8 in the UAC.
Record versus reality
Why it matters. Records built on close wins and lucky bounces tend to drift back toward how well a team really plays. Austin Peay has 8 wins against 7.4 expected from its play and schedule, and is 1-1 in one-score games.
Rise and fall
Why it matters. Teams change over a season through injuries, new starters and growth; the trend shows which way this one is moving. Austin Peay was 141st in Power after week 2 and is 144th now; its best was 117th after week 4.
What is ahead
Why it matters. Playing out the rest of the season 10,000 times turns a schedule into odds: the most likely record, and how likely each goal is. Across 10,000 simulated seasons Austin Peay averages 9.5 wins and almost never wins the UAC.
Top players and teams like them
Why it matters. Comparing a team with its closest statistical matches puts its season in context beyond the standings. The highest-ranked player on the roster is Hamilton DiBoyan, 2nd of 261 kickers. The closest match in style and strength is Tennessee Tech.
